A strategic shift

To quote Intel Slava Z Telegram channel:

  • Putin approved the ratification of the agreement on the admission of the DPR, LPR, Zaporozhye and Kherson regions into the Russian Federation.
  • Putin signed laws on the admission of the DPR, LPR, Zaporozhye and Kherson regions into Russia (laws on the ratification of treaties on accession and federal constitutional laws on admission as subjects of the Federation).

This changed the situation significantly, in a sense that Russia is no longer ahead in the war, in a sense that it is occupying parts of Ukrainian territory. As things stand now, Ukraine is occupying significant portions of Russian territory, and basically the entirety of the war is now being fought inside the Russian Federation. This means that Russia is waging a war to liberate the Motherland for the first time since they kicked Hitler out. Ironically, that last one was also fought in Ukraine, against the Western occupiers helped by their local Banderist servants. We’re basically watching a re-run of the second world war, and the craziest part is that it isn’t a paintball game.

Now that Putin’s legalistic itch has been properly scratched, we can expect something along these lines:

  • Russian forces reach their designated positions; this might be the actual reason why Putin took his time with the legalist part, because to move half a million people along with heavy weapons takes time, especially across such a vast territory. The fact that they seem to be almost done is a monument to their logistical skills.
  • Putin will make a speech offering Ukraine negotiations for peace
  • Ukraine will show him the middle finger
  • Putin will ask Duma to declare war in order to liberate the Motherland from foreign invaders.
  • War will be declared and Putin will be given war powers.
  • The entire Ukraine will be covered by the kind of artillery fire we haven’t even dreamt of so far, in full depth, up to the Polish border. This will destroy all their barracks, railroad tracks and terminals, airports, electrical grid, communications and so on, throwing Ukraine into a dark, cold silence. American satellites coordinating the Ukraine war will go silent.
  • Hundreds of thousands of Russian troops, along with heavy weaponry, will cross the border, and the gates of hell will open for the Ukrainian troops. Odessa and Kharkov will be taken, Kiev will be struck with immense force and fall within days, and the Western Ukraine around Lviv will be on fire.
  • Absolute panic will take place in NATO command centres, and they will be faced with a choice of either going in and risk being struck at depth by Russia, or watch as they lose their entire anti-Russia campaign. With all the propaganda going on, I expect the former.
  • NATO will find some excuse to strike Russia at depth.
  • Ramstein base and, likely, NATO headquarters, are burning holes in the ground. NATO loses everything they have in Poland and Germany. Everything that participated in anti-Russian war in Ukraine, meaning all the command and control centres in Europe, is on fire.
  • Americans launch a single low-yield nuclear device hitting Russian defence ministry building in Moscow.
  • Russia retaliates by eliminating the entire American and British military with nuclear strikes.
  • A few American nuclear sites launch at Russia and China. Russia eliminates 90% of the warheads, but some get through to Moscow, St.Petersburg, Vladivostok and other major centres. Some Chinese major military installations and cities are destroyed.
  • Russia retaliates by destroying American cities, with full force. 200M Americans die within 30 minutes. All British major cities are also destroyed. China launches everything they have at America, Britain and Australia, for good measure, stirring the dust over the glass parking lots.
  • And only then, without power, fertilisers, agriculture, refrigeration and modern medicine, things start going really bad. The largest number of fatalities happen during the next five years. Mankind loses the position of influence over the future of the world, and their own fate, as technosphere degrades and is lost.
  • Somewhere in the near future, the interglacial period ends, and the last remaining Homo Sapiens species goes extinct.
  • Since the passage between Antarctica and Chile remains open, Earth continues cooling and we have the first global glaciation in 500M years, ending the period that started with the Cambrian explosion of life. Most of life on land is extinct. I don’t know how total glaciation affects the sea life, but I don’t expect ice blocking sunlight from reaching sea plants to be good for the food chain. Also, I don’t expect all the CO2 being dissolved into water to be good, either.

The good part is that Greta won’t be there to bitch about the CO2.