The Telegram dilemma

France has recently arrested Pavel Durov, creator of the Telegram application that serves as a free speech platform, as part of the intensifying crackdown on free speech in the increasingly totalitarian West.

They accused him of, basically, enabling all kinds of real or imaginary crimes that someone did or could do using his platform because he didn’t censor enough and didn’t allow the governments to spy on people enough.

The thing is, if they actually have evidence for any of those things, it means they caught the people who committed crimes, proved it in court, and those people are now behind bars, so the problem doesn’t exist. If they couldn’t prove those accusations in a court of law, then they are mere slander and people making them should be punished.

Which is it?

Also, if drug dealers or pedophiles used Telegram to enable their activities, they also likely used the local grocery store to buy food, also to enable their activities. They also used electricity, water and other communal infrastructure to enable their activities. The argument that someone used something to enable some illegal activity is perfectly worthless, because until someone is actually sentenced for a crime in a court of law, everybody should treat them as if they were innocent and not pass any judgment, unless, for instance, they actually witnessed a crime, in which case they need to report it and testify to that effect in a court of law.

Everything in the West has been turned upside down and is currently the exact opposite of what used to be a free society. For instance, the financial system is legally obliged to constantly pressure everybody to provide evidence of their innocence of either money laundering or financing terrorism or whatever is currently fashionable. This is sheer insanity. Rather, the state should offer evidence of crimes being committed, the state attorney should request seizure of documentation, suspension of service and so on, based on the actual facts that infer guilt, instead of asking everybody to continue proving their innocence in order to keep having access to services, which is what a totalitarian state would do, and in fact does. People are being prohibited from using services right now, not because they did anything wrong, but because their nationality or place of residence was put on some “entities list” by America, which seems to spread totalitarianism and everything else that is in stark contrast to the wording and intent of their own constitution, around the world. Also, the fact that America and its allies seem to be extremely threatened by any restriction on their ability to perform complete, unconditional and unrestricted control over every single person in the world, in their actions, words and thoughts, is the most sinister and totalitarian thing in history.

Incompetence or…?

Yesterday, a billion computers running Windows 10 bluescreened because Microsoft pushed an untested update by a company called CrowdStrike. Air travel, banks, payment systems, hospitals and who knows what else was affected. Interestingly, everybody affected belonged to a single user group: large entities with enterprise-level security systems installed.

The guy who tried to assassinate Trump once appeared in a 2022 Blackrock ad. I tried to test several possible conspiracy theories, and nothing really makes sense. The guy seems to be a stupid kid, but without any social network accounts, which is weird, because if that stuff was wiped in advance, that would be evidence of an actual conspiracy on very high levels that include intelligence agencies. Also, the guy was on a roof in what was supposed to be a protected area, and the experts say the only explanations are total incompetence or conspiracy.

So, we have two major events very close to each other, where almost inexplicable levels of incompetence are the only alternative explanation to conspiracy. So, let’s first go with the more parsimonic explanation: incompetence. This is actually very easy to believe, because America is literally rotting from top to bottom, and incompetence is absolutely widespread, and often dressed up in corporate and political newspeak to look good. Boeing literally can’t make airplanes anymore because they fired all their engineers. Microsoft no longer has a department that tests software, they basically fired it all and are now crowdsourcing product testing. Big startups that turn out to be based on outright fraud – basically just hype without a product – are no longer even news, it’s the way things are done there. The Secret Service head is a woke woman that has a goal of “diversity”, and Trump’s security detail included several obviously incompetent women who were running around aimlessly like headless chicken. The president of America is completely senile. Meritocracy is a bad word there, because it goes contrary to all the DEI neo-Marxist nonsense that’s the ruling policy of the country. No, incompetence cannot be ruled out as an explanation for anything there, because the entire West is a black hole of incompetence, idiocy and all sorts of fools who would save the world and CrowdStrike is an excellent metaphor: a security firm that created the greatest security threat and outage in history.

However, as tempting it is to say that Americans are obviously idiots and no level of incompetence can be put past them, I would still like to explore conspiracy as an explanation, just to be thorough. The problem here is that there’s no actual evidence, but if I was told that incompetence has to be ruled out as an explanation and that I have to promote the secondary explanation, no matter how poorly backed by evidence, to the no1 spot, I’d say that the circumstantial non-evidence points in the direction of someone trying to create chaos, or at least test the mechanisms they have in place for creating chaos, panic and erosion of normalcy. It would have to be someone in a high enough place to be able to control both Secret Service, Microsoft and whoever in the Wall St. billionaire crowd it is that owns big enough chunk of CrowdStrike, which seems to be a 80 billion company that sells security-themed nonsense to enterprise customers, who all wet their panties at the mention of security and control. If it’s AI controlling security, they are already working very hard to suppress a loud orgasm in public. CrowdStrike seems to sell just the right combination of buzzwords, but in reality, I have no reason to believe it’s not the new Theranos. I also have no reason to believe that it is. However, knowing how American business works, … In any case, the most likely explanation would be a conspiracy from those WEF people, or whoever sells them ideology and panders to their narcissism in order to control them. It’s actually possible that they take instructions from an AI, which for instance tells them that they need increased social anxiety in order to increase probability of success for whatever grand plan they are implementing, and they pulled the strings for several chaos-sowing events.

I don’t know. However plausible this sounds, the evidence is incredibly thin and I can’t give it a Bayesian match higher than 20%; incompetence is just so much more elegant explanation, but for some reason I’m not happy with it, because the other explanation fits into a wider situation very nicely, and once the news about the Trump assassination attempt started to circulate, the thing that crossed my mind was “whoever put this in motion must have a plan B”. Also, yes, Biden is completely senile, but someone is pulling the strings of that obvious puppet, and it’s in someone’s interest to have a figurehead “President” who gives them free rein. That someone might not want there to be an election. Furthermore, the two explanations are not mutually exclusive, as a society riddled with profound and systemic incompetence is very easily influenced or outright taken over by malicious actors. I would therefore advise caution, and expect major disruptive events. Declaration of a state of emergency in America, resulting in closing the borders (for departures at least), lockdown and severe crackdown on what little there remains of freedom is likely in the short-term. I don’t know what excuse they will use this time, but something’s definitely in the air.

Crumbling

There’s been breaking news on the YouTube tech channels about high-end Intel CPUs of the latest generations showing serious instability.

Boeing is on public display as evidence of Jack Welch’s profitability-first policy’s final outcome.

Trump just barely survived an assassination attempt at a campaign rally.

Joe Biden, the current president of the USA, is showing mental abilities unseen since the times of Brezhnev.

The assignment: find the common denominator.

Demonstration?

The main headline on RT is “Dmitry Suslov: It’s time for Russia to drop a nuclear bomb“.

The fact that it’s there and it’s the main article means that the Russian government is probing the public for reactions. Well, my opinion is that a demonstration, in a sense of a nuclear test, would be utterly pointless, because the point in contention isn’t whether the Russians have nuclear weapons or not, or whether nuclear weapons are dangerous or not, but whether Russia is willing to actually use nuclear weapons against their enemies in order to deter further encroachments on their sovereignty and integrity. They can’t just nuke the polygon in Novaya Zemlya or some similar wasteland, they need to hit several NATO bases – not just one – and they need to show that they are not afraid of the loss of life and possible escalation, because any such fears have been and will be used against them. They can no longer appeal to the opponent’s abstract reasoning skills, or a sense of logic. They need to inflict mortal fear, and appeal to naked and immediate terror.