The Russians are installing Pantsir-S air defense systems on roofs of the Defense Ministry and other buildings in Moscow. This is, apparently, in case some drone makes it that far; for anything serious, there’s the heavy anti-ballistic defense of Moscow.

The Russians are performing offensive ground actions along the Zaporozhye front, which means they managed to stretch the Ukrops very thin along the whole length of the front because they pulled everything into Bakhmut. The Russians, on the other hand, had serious reinforcements along the entire line. If the Ukrops try moving the troops from Bakhmut now, it will instantly fall and they will all be killed, as there is constant pressure from Wagner there. They will probably pull everything they have from the defense of Kiev and the Belorussian border to try to patch up the Donetsk front, and if they do, my high-probability projection is that the joint Russian-Belarussian army will go in from the North and Kiev will fall. If they keep the army in the North, however, the Russians will wipe out their entire Donetsk line. Since the ground is hardened almost everywhere, I would expect them to perform probing attacks in Donetsk first, where the Ukrops are being actively compromised, and then I guess keep striking the unbalanced enemy.

There is also a high probability of desperate moves from Ukraine and America, since they don’t think they have anything to lose at this point.