Democracy

I’ve read an incredible statement by the idiot woman who is apparently German minister of foreign affairs:

Germany will back Ukraine ‘no matter what voters think’ – FM

Annalena Baerbock says supporting Kiev matters more than expected winter unrest

If I give the promise to people in Ukraine – ‘We stand with you, as long as you need us’ – then I want to deliver. No matter what my German voters think, but I want to deliver to the people of Ukraine,” Baerbock said at one point.

“I have to be clear that this holds on as long as Ukraine needs me,” she said, referring to the EU embargo against Russia.

“We are facing now wintertime, when we will be challenged as democratic politicians. People will go in the street and say ‘We cannot pay our energy prices’. And I will say ‘Yes I know, so we help you with social measures.’ But I don’t want to say ‘Ok then we stop the sanctions against Russia.’ We will stand with Ukraine, and this means the sanctions will stay also in wintertime, even if it gets really tough for politicians.”

Initially, I thought “how is it a democracy if politicians intentionally work against the interest of their own people, sacrificing them for the sake of helping a foreign country (which by the way is a Nazi cesspool of lies, corruption, theft and murder, and said country is actually an American puppet state that was used for killing its own citizens of Russian nationality and developing covid-based bioweapons designed for preferentially killing Russians; basically, it’s the worst country in Europe by far, and probably one of the worst in the world), and outright declare to work against the interest of their voters?”

And then I thought, silly me, why of course it’s democracy, by the only relevant definition. You see, non-democratic countries such as Russia think democracy is when political parties and politicians declare their agenda, and people go out to the polls to cast votes, and whoever wins most votes can govern the state and then if the people see that they work in their best interest, they keep electing them to power, or otherwise vote them out of office. But that’s not true democracy. True democracy is when the American embassy, State Department and the CIA pre-select the candidates, and tell the controlled press who is supposed to win so that they know whom to uncritically praise and whom to slander, so that the obedient people know who is the most democratic candidate that is supposed to win. If this candidate wins, the elections were free and democratic, and if said candidate loses and people actually elect someone they support (i.e. Trump), this was not democratic and the Russians did it.

Halfway between having the cake and eating it

I sold 55.13% of my precious metals holdings today, and bought a nice two-storey penthouse apartment and a plot of land.

This move is contrary to what I would consider smart, because the precious metals valuations are below what they should be, and real estate is greatly overvalued. However, I am very happy with my decision, for the following reasons.

First, this is the first real estate property I ever bought; I’ve been renting so far. The problem is, the very nice place I had rented since 2009 to 2021 lulled me into a false sense of complacency; I had a very unproblematic situation there (other than a humidity/mold problem) until the earthquake that damaged the structure so hard, the flat roof became porous to water, and the owners couldn’t fix it while I was inside, and probably can’t fix it at all due to the nature of the damage, and when water intrusion became so bad it flooded the central heating boiler and we lost both hot water and heating during the winter, I had to move in the most inopportune moment, with huge rental prices and incredibly poor choice. Renting no longer looks like a great idea, especially on the eve of a great geopolitical disaster that’s developing as we speak. Also, there is a problem with real estate that’s even worse than price, and that’s availability, The choice is poor, and when a good one appeared on the market, together with a piece of land I could later use for whatever purpose, I decided to halve both my risk and my potential earnings from metal growth; having no place that I can reliably depend on in this situation looked like something that’s far too dangerous in comparison with the possible reward in the best case scenario; the risk/reward ratio was poor. I have nothing against risk, but having so much money in form of metal, and not having a place of my own, in a situation where renting no longer feels like a good solution, that was foolhardy.

Also, my original reason for buying precious metals was to save for real estate, because money on a bank account is always too tempting to spend on some “lesser goal” that invariably appears; someone always “needs” a new car, or something along those lines. Also, I don’t trust banks as far as I can throw them, and keeping money there feels inherently dangerous. As I had a very strong “hint from above” to buy gold bullion, that’s what I eventually did, after initially dismissing the “hint” to my detriment. The problem is that I started thinking about precious metals then, and decided that they are hugely undervalued and a price revision is somewhere in the future, making it a very tempting prospect to just hold on to the gold until this comes to fruition, and only then solve the real estate problem. However, this is not the whole story, as I tried to buy real estate at several points before, and it turned out that either the houses were poorly built or inadequate, or the sellers were unreliable in some way; in any case, by trying to find something good for several years, I learned how hard it is to find that “unicorn” place, and so when one appeared, and passed several of my tests, I decided to just go for it and split my holdings just about straight in the middle, between real estate and precious metals.

Buying land was a spur of the moment thing; it felt like something that makes my situation less limited and allowed me to explore options in the future, if need arises, and although it increased the cost by a quarter, it increased potential benefits by an order of magnitude, so I just went for it.

It is good that I could do this and not enter the worst of the crisis with no money; that would be even worse than entering it without a place of my own, from which I can’t be arbitrarily thrown out when the landlord feels shit hit the fan too hard and he wants his house back. I remind you that laws and contracts are worth very little in a societal breakdown scenario. However, you can’t eat real estate, and being completely without money because I bought real estate was the reason why I missed out on a few previously available, and marginally acceptable places; buying them would dry me out completely. This, on the other hand, feels financially comfortable.

This recent drop in gold price did hurt me somewhat, but it only reduced my profits from gold by a fifth or so; it reduced my profits from 12% to 10.5%. As I said, it hurt, but not to the point where it would really compromise anything. I would be lying if I said I didn’t expect gold to grow more, but all in all, if I just left the money on the bank account, I would probably have spent it already, and it would also generate no interest if I didn’t. This way, I had moderate earnings, the kind you expect from a solid stock market investment, not from something that supposedly just sits there and makes you no money.

The nice thing is, nobody is going to ask me why I didn’t just invest money in crypto, because those who did are still nurturing their very tender nether regions. 🙂

 

Trust the government

…not:

That’s what it looks like when idiots try to pursue an ill-conceived ideological agenda and they aren’t even able to do simple logistics. And those are the people who would teach us moral virtue, brow-beat us for disobedience, and wage war with Russia and China.

The problem with these idiots is that they “trust their feelings” about “what is right” instead of doing the math, like, we want electric cars, let’s see if it’s doable. How long does the battery last, how frequently do you need to charge it and for how long, where do you need the charging stations and how many, how much electricity can you pull through the existing installations and is it enough for charging electric cars, what do you need to upgrade, and is there enough electricity in the grid to support this additional load?

The same idiots sanctioned Russian gas and oil for “moral reasons” (because waging a war against a Nazi puppet-state of your strategic enemy who is developing bio-weapons there, specifically designed to preferentially kill Russians and have “plausible deniability” about the source, -> oh they must have eaten bats, those crazy primitive Russians; waging war against them is incredibly immoral and everybody should do something to support the Nazi puppets, because that’s the right thing to do, because those who attack are always in the wrong and that’s why we all supported Saddam… oh wait), the Americans told them they’ll provide them with the “freedom gas”, it’s going to cost a bit more but that’s the price of freedom, and what did I say, I said there isn’t any American gas, it exists only in the PowerPoint presentations. Guess what happened, there actually isn’t any American gas, Europe is going to have a very cold winter and its industry is going to die, and even more importantly, its agriculture is going to die and then everybody is going to starve to death, and it’s all a part of someone’s plan because the goal is to kill you all because you’re bad for the environment.

Basically, the people who plan to kill us all because we are bad for the environment are the same people who are too stupid to install chargers for the electric cars because they just suck at planning and doing basic logistical math.

Yeah, but by all means, trust them with all your lives because they mean well and they know what’s right. It doesn’t matter that they are stupid and can’t organize a public toilet properly; what matters is that their hearts are in the right place. 🙂

Looking into the eyes of pure evil

For the last week or so, the Ukrainians have been shelling the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant (that has been taken by the Russians at the very onset of the war and not part of any military action). The Russians have arrested two Ukrainian agents inside the plant, who have been providing the Ukrainian military with the coordinates guiding artillery fire.

The danger isn’t from them hitting the reactors; nothing short of a nuclear bomb could penetrate the reactor dome. The main problem is the interruption to the power supply to the water circulation pumps in the reactors, which is what triggered the Fukushima Daiichi incident, because this is the weak point of the solid fuel fission reactors; if you either cut the cooling, or the moderator rods get stuck on the outside position, you get a meltdown. You can guard against this by initiating a complete reactor shutdown. The second problem is the spent fuel rods pool, which is nowhere near as well protected as the reactors. However, in my opinion this can cause only a localized incident, since you need a reactor meltdown for shit to really hit the fan, because it is then that the superheated steam carries the vast amount of highly radioactive particles high into the atmosphere, from where they spread globally, which took place in Chernobyl. In my opinion, threat to the reactor coolant circulation pump power supply is the greatest danger in any solid fuel fission power plant.

The Western press has been spreading Ukrainian lies, such as this one:

KYIV, Aug 14 (Reuters) – Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has warned Russian soldiers who shoot at Europe’s largest nuclear power station or use it as a base to shoot from that they will become a “special target” for Ukrainian forces. (Reuters)

Yeah, somehow the small Russian military contingent that basically guards the powerplant against potential Ukrainian attempts to blow it up (which showed amazing foresight by the Russians, by the way) are “threatening” the power plant and the poor Ukrainians simply have to defend themselves by trying to cause the next Chernobyl, and the Western press is just spreading this propagandistic lying garbage.

By the way, Ukrainian artillery fire is being guided by the Americans, to the point where the American specialists are both providing the Ukrainians with coordinates and entering those coordinates into the American weapons. Which makes one think which country meets the definition of a sponsor of international terrorism.

I’ve been talking about good and evil recently, and if this isn’t an obvious example of evil, then I don’t know what to say. Systematically shelling a nuclear power plant in attempt to cause a radiological incident that could spread across Europe, and brazenly lying about it to shift blame, that’s just evil. If that isn’t evil, then nothing is.

Tiers of good

I wrote an article about the tiers of evil using the Witcher in-game universe as illustration, but when I wanted to write a similar article about the tiers of good, I encountered a problem. You see, the pool of good but powerful characters in Witcher is so shallow, I had nothing to write about. I’ll give it a try, just so that you see what I mean.

The first ther are good and helpful, but ordinary beings, such as Tomira the herbalist, Dudu the doppler, Dandelion, Roche, Zoltan, Crach an Craite and others. They basically mind their own business, but they try to help people and join good causes.

Next come the witchers; they go around the world and basically remove things that kill people, making it a better place. Sure, they charge money, but considering how they spend it all on gear, it turns out they actually don’t profit from their labor at all, and in fact do it out of pure altruism. They could, in fact, use their skills for evil and be much better paid as hired assassins or thugs (and some, in fact, do), but the vast majority of them don’t, which means it’s a choice for good, and it produces significant good consequences. Geralt is an outstanding example even in that company, because he makes very deliberate and calculated choices to improve the world by his actions, and is personally very powerful.

Then we have the good mages – Triss, Yennefer, Ermion and others – who are sometimes annoying and irritable, but powerful and helpful. They are powerful in different ways than the witchers – more magical power, but also more sensitivity to physical attack – which means they complement with the witchers most excellently; if a witcher defends the mage from physical attack while the mage does his thing, the result is more than the sum of its parts. Also, you can pretty much reduce a mage to an ordinary person with a dimeritium bomb, while a witcher will shrug it off and kill you with a sword.

The next level are the higher vampires, specifically Regis; they don’t use powerful magic, but they possess innate abilities that look like magic, and they are extremely powerful, and also extremely hard to kill. When such a powerful being makes a conscious choice for good, like Regis, the result is someone who is powerful, smart and helpful, and when he combines powers with someone like Geralt, they use detective work, alchemy, magic and brute force to great effect, and they are also fun to watch and they always have interesting opinions about human society and politics. Also, if you observe what a mess a higher vampire can make when he is ruled by rage or malice, it makes you appreciate the good ones even more, because you get to see it’s a willing choice, and not at all an easy one. They are prone to strong passions as a species, and a choice for good requires quite a bit of discipline and control for them.

And here we bump into my problem – there are no gods in the Witcher universe. There are no super-powerful angelic beings. The best I can think of is the Lady of the Lake, who tries to promote and enforce some basic principles, or Gaunter O’Dimm, who is not really good in any true definition of the term, but more of a predator who selectively destroys evil, arrogant and worthless beings. He is occasionally helpful to the good ones, but excessive help from him comes at a high price that is seldom worth it. However, if we see him as some kind of a super-devil that selectively plucks the evil people out of existence and thus shows that a choice for evil and callousness might not be worth it, I am forced to classify him as a phenomenon useful for enforcing positive moral principles. The “gods” of the Witcher universe, however, are all false and ridiculous. The “prophet” Lebioda is an obvious caricature of Jesus designed by atheists; other “gods” such as Freya or Melitele probably don’t even exist, which is what “allgod”, the lardass sylvan living in a basement of an elven ruin, actually points out: sure, he’s not a real deity, but unlike all other false gods he actually exists enough to talk and offer some advice to the peasants. Basically, all the religions in Witcher are exactly what atheists think of religions, and this is why the Witcher imagery is useless for describing the actual good that exceeds normal human metrics. Furthermore, this is the case with basically every other fictional universe imagined by humans: they apparently don’t know what powerful good beings feel like, to the point where they can’t even imagine them properly. Also, since the experience of darshan is apparently rare among writers, they can’t write from actual experience.

And so, if people aren’t even capable of writing fictional good characters due to their lack of experience with actual powerful good beings, what does this say about this world, about religions, and so on? It’s something to think about, in any case.